Recently, a video released by Moore’s Law is Dead, a notorious rumour channel, has sparked discussions about the potential release date of the RTX 5090 by Nvidia. The video quotes an alleged insider source from Nvidia, who claims that the decision to launch the next-gen cards in 2024 will depend on the competitiveness of AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs. This article will delve into the details of this claim and analyze its implications for the gaming industry.
According to the unnamed source, the next-gen consumer architecture, known as the RTX 5090, will be based on the Blackwell GPU design. Nvidia is reportedly preparing for its launch in the fourth quarter of 2024, provided the company decides to proceed. The performance and sales of the current RTX 40-series throughout the next year will heavily influence Nvidia’s decision. Additionally, the source suggests that AMD’s launch of their own next-gen cards will play a role in determining Nvidia’s actions.
It is important to note that AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs are rumored to focus primarily on the mid-range market. Therefore, it is unlikely that any new Radeon graphics card will pose a significant threat to Nvidia’s high-end offerings. However, if AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs have a successful launch and begin to impact Nvidia’s volume sales, Nvidia may be compelled to introduce a new flagship product in order to regain market attention and remind consumers of the upcoming GeForce generation.
The success of AMD’s RDNA 4 launch will determine whether consumers can expect to see a next-gen Nvidia GPU in 2024. If AMD’s rumored success destabilizes Nvidia’s market dominance, then the green team may opt to release the RTX 5090 towards the end of the year to maintain its competitive edge. However, if Nvidia’s proposed launch of the RTX 40-series Super cards in early 2024 delivers lower prices and improved performance, it may solidify the Ada generation as the go-to graphics cards for the next 12 months. In such a scenario, it would be unlikely for Nvidia to cannibalize its own sales by introducing the RTX 5090.
The source also mentions Nvidia’s plans to emphasize the efficiency of the RTX 5000 series at CES 2025. This indicates that regardless of the circumstances, Nvidia is committed to launching the next-gen GPUs by the start of 2025. This is earlier than initially anticipated, as there were previous reports suggesting that Nvidia’s next-gen cards might not arrive until 2025. The possibility of having truly next-gen GPUs in 2024 is an exciting prospect for gamers, but their performance remains a key question.
According to the insider source, the Blackwell architecture may not deliver the same level of pure raster uplift as the previous leap from the RTX 30-series to the RTX 40-series. However, it is important to note that final specifications are far from finalized. There is a suggestion that a full GB202 chip could potentially offer a significant performance boost over the current RTX 4090, making it feel like a substantial leap, similar to the jump from the RTX 3090.
The potential release of the RTX 5090 by Nvidia in 2024 is dependent on various factors, including the success of AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs and the market performance of Nvidia’s current RTX 40-series. While the Blackwell GPU design forms the basis of the next-gen consumer architecture, its performance compared to previous generations remains uncertain. Nonetheless, Nvidia’s commitment to highlight RTX 5000 efficiency at CES 2025 suggests that the launch of next-gen GPUs is inevitable. Gamers eagerly anticipate the release of these new graphics cards, as they have the potential to deliver enhanced gaming experiences.
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